Viewing archive of Saturday, 23 June 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jun 23 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 174 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for June 24 -25. There remains the chance for isolated active periods. The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for June 26.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Jun to 26 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Jun 066
  Predicted   24 Jun-26 Jun  068/068/070
  90 Day Mean        23 Jun 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun  012/016
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Jun  006/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  006/012-006/008-003/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun to 26 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%20%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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