Viewing archive of Monday, 30 July 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jul 30 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jul 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. An asymmetric full halo CME was observed in LASCO data starting at approximately 30/0454Z. This CME is believed to be a backsided event.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active due to a geoeffective coronal hole. Solar wind speed remains elevated at approximately 600 km/s at time of issue.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for active periods for the next two days (31 July - 01 August) due to continued coronal hole effects. Expect mostly quiet conditions on 02 August.
III. Event Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Jul 069
  Predicted   31 Jul-02 Aug  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        30 Jul 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jul  011/014
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Jul  010/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug  008/010-010/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%10%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%15%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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