Viewing archive of Friday, 26 October 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Oct 26 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 299 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Oct 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions. The solar wind data observed at the ACE spacecraft indicates the presence of the coronal hole high speed wind stream. Speeds have averaged around 670 km/s with Bz fluctuations between +/- 4 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately unsettled with isolated active conditions due to the influence of the coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Oct to 29 Oct
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Oct 068
  Predicted   27 Oct-29 Oct  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        26 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Oct  010/020
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Oct  015/020
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct  010/012-008/010-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Oct to 29 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%20%
Minor storm15%10%15%
Major-severe storm05%01%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%25%
Minor storm20%15%20%
Major-severe storm05%01%05%

All times in UTC

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