Viewing archive of Sunday, 16 December 2007
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 350 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Dec 2007IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 17 Dec to 19 Dec
| Class M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Dec 082 Predicted 17 Dec-19 Dec 085/080/075 90 Day Mean 16 Dec 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Dec 002/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Dec 005/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Dec-19 Dec 020/025-010/015-008/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Dec to 19 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 30% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK, Utqiagvik, AK
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