Viewing archive of Monday, 14 January 2008
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jan 2008IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jan to 17 Jan
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jan 076 Predicted 15 Jan-17 Jan 075/070/070 90 Day Mean 14 Jan 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jan 009/011 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jan 014/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 014/015-012/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jan to 17 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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