Viewing archive of Thursday, 10 April 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Apr 10 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 101 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Apr 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed remains elevated to greater than 600 km/sec due to the continued influence of a coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled 11 April and abate to predominately quiet for 12 - 13 April as the coronal hole high speed stream rotates out of its geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 11 Apr to 13 Apr
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 Apr 068
  Predicted   11 Apr-13 Apr  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        10 Apr 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 09 Apr  009/012
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 10 Apr  007/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 11 Apr-13 Apr  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Apr to 13 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%15%
Minor storm15%10%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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