Viewing archive of Monday, 10 May 2010
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 130 Issued at 2200Z on 10 May 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 11 May to 13 May
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 May 074 Predicted 11 May-13 May 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 10 May 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 May 001/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 10 May 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 11 May-13 May 008/008-010/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 May to 13 May
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 35% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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