Viewing archive of Saturday, 31 July 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jul 31 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 212 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Jul 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1092 (N13E35) produced several B-class flares, the largest a B7 at 31/1909Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is forecast to be very low to low, with a chance for a C-class flare for the next 3 days (01-03 August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is forecast to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (01-03 August).
III. Event Probabilities 01 Aug to 03 Aug
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       31 Jul 083
  Predicted   01 Aug-03 Aug  082/082/082
  90 Day Mean        31 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jul  005/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 31 Jul  005/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 01 Aug-03 Aug  005/007-005/006-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Aug to 03 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active35%35%35%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%30%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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