Viewing archive of Tuesday, 2 November 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Nov 02 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1120 (N38E31) has
shown slight decay during the period and is the only spotted region
on the visible disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low on days one and two (03-04 November). Activity is expected to be
very low to low on day three (05 November) as old region 1112 (S19,
L=208) returns to the visible disk.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (03-05
November).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Nov to 05 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Nov 079 Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 078/078/080 90 Day Mean 02 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 002/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 005/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 005/005-007/007-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov to 05 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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