Viewing archive of Thursday, 3 January 2013
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 3 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jan 2013IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jan to 06 Jan
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jan 129 Predicted 04 Jan-06 Jan 130/130/130 90 Day Mean 03 Jan 118
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jan 002/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jan 002/002 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jan to 06 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
SodankyläReykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnOulu, Rovaniemi, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Luleå, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen
Sundsvall
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Helsinki, Tampere, TurkuPetrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
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