Viewing archive of Wednesday, 2 January 2013
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 2 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jan 2013IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jan to 05 Jan
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jan 119 Predicted 03 Jan-05 Jan 120/120/120 90 Day Mean 02 Jan 118
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jan 001/000 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jan 003/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jan to 05 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Rovaniemi, SodankyläMurmansk
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Oulu, KuopioTrondheim
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
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