Issued: 2013 Sep 30 1259 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Sep 2013 | 103 | 007 |
01 Oct 2013 | 097 | 007 |
02 Oct 2013 | 097 | 007 |
A yet unnumbered, flux emerging region in the South-Eastern solar quadrant might develop flaring potential in the coming days. A large filament in the solar north-western hemisphere erupted Sunday evening around 21:45UT. The event was associated with a long duration C1.2 flare peaking at 23:39. The GOES proton flux level has crossed the event threshold (> 10 pfu for 10 MeV). LASCO observed a full-halo CME. In STEREO-B Cor2, the plane-of the sky speed is of the order of 600km/s. In the coming 3 days, we expect quiet geomagnetic conditions. The halo-CME of midnight Sept 29/30 is expected to arrive midnight October 2/3.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 037, based on 17 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 103 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 032 - Based on 26 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 00:51 UTC
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:07 UTC
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