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X1.6 CME, evolution of sunspot region 2205

Solar activity has been at low levels (only C-class solar flares) since the X1.6 solar flare from sunspot region 2205 that occurred yesterday. We already mentioned in our previous article that the X1.6 coronal mass ejection is traveling mostly in an eastward direction and away from Earth. However, the coronal mass ejection was fairly wide covering well over 180 degrees on LASCO imagery which could indicate that we can not exclude a shock passage late on November 10. If we do see a shock passage it would be only a minor event at most and a geomagnetic storm is not to be expected. The NOAA SWPC nonetheless put out a warning for possible moderate G2 geomagnetic storming conditions on 10 November.

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

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Saturday, 22 March 2025
23:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:37 UTC

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Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March

Yesterday around 16 UTC an M1.2 solar flare took place around sunspot region 4028. The solar flare triggered a filament eruption which erupted from the center of the earth-facing solar disk.

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12:18 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:10 UTC


03:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 03:35 UTC

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03:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 02:59 UTC

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