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CME watch, coronal hole stream incoming

We are currently awaiting the possible arrival of a glancing blow coronal mass ejection passage related to an M2.4 solar flare from 9 February. The coronal mass ejection was expected to arrive early this morning but there are no signs in the solar wind data that suggest that the coronal mass ejection has arrived. The low energy protons as measured by ACE EPAM are slightly elevated which could suggest that the coronal mass ejection has yet to come. Any impact (if any) will likely be minor and it is unlikely that it can cause a geomagnetic storm but you should nonetheless be alert in the coming hours for a possible impact.

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 20:16 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk, Norilsk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (588.9 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (17.41nT), the direction is North (7.53nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-75nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C7.01

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Latest alerts

20:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 20:08 UTC

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20:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:00 UTC

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18:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 17:00 UTC

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17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 16:28 UTC

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14:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 13:58 UTC

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