Viewing archive of Monday, 4 January 2016
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 4 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jan 2016IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 05 Jan to 07 Jan
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jan 095 Predicted 05 Jan-07 Jan 095/095/095 90 Day Mean 04 Jan 109
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jan 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jan 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jan-07 Jan 008/008-013/020-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jan to 07 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 40% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 25% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 60% | 60% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ReykjavikCurrent data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnOulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Tromsø
Kiruna, Luleå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TampereLatest news
X1.1 solar flare
Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
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