Issued: 2016 Sep 25 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Sep 2016 | 083 | 016 |
26 Sep 2016 | 084 | 029 |
27 Sep 2016 | 085 | 014 |
Solar activity was very low. The Sun produced no C flares in the past 24 hours. Low solar activity (C flaring) is possible in the next 24 hours, especially from beta-gamma region NOAA AR 2597. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR varied between about 350 and 390 km/s. Meanwhile the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field increased from about 3 nT to current levels of around 11 nT. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 2 and 4, NOAA Kp between 1 and 5) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on September 25, with a chance for active episodes (K Dourbes = 4). Quiet to active levels (K Dourbes < 5) are expected on September 26 and 27 due to the expected arrival of a positive high speed stream associated with a negative coronal hole, with a chance for minor storm episodes (K Dourbes = 5).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 028, based on 19 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 085 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 055 - Based on 29 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |