Issued: 2017 Apr 12 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Apr 2017 | 075 | 010 |
13 Apr 2017 | 076 | 010 |
14 Apr 2017 | 077 | 008 |
Solar activity was at low levels during the period. The strongest event was a B1.4 flare peaking at 19:45 UT yesterday. This flare was produced by NOAA 2650 (McIntosh: Cao; Mag.Type: Beta). No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels. B-class flaring is expected, with a small chance on an isolated C-class flare. Solar wind speed increased from about 420 km/s to values around 490 km/s (00UT, 12/04), but then decreased again till 450 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) strength, as recorded by the DSCOVR satellite, has been around 5 nT. Bz fluctuated between -4.5 and +4 nT, being mostly negative. Solar wind parameters are expected to decline further today. The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, Kp NOAA index: 2-3, local K Dourbes index: 1-3. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected, with a chance on an active episode.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 020, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 015 |
10cm solar flux | 075 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 023 |
AK Wingst | 015 |
Estimated Ap | 014 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 014 - Based on 30 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:07 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 75GW at 13:21 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:59 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:02 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 13:56 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 143 +8.8 |
Last 30 days | 130.4 -16.1 |