Viewing archive of Thursday, 18 January 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Jan 18 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 18 Jan 2018 until 20 Jan 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
18 Jan 2018071004
19 Jan 2018071010
20 Jan 2018071016

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been quiet. No significant flares have been recorded. Active Region (AR) 2696 (Mcintosh class:Bxo; Mag. type:Beta) is the only region on the disk, producing a B9.7 class flare. Flaring activity from the region has been increasing. There are no other significant ARs on the solar disk. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a chance of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has fluctuated around 350 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has remained around 5 nT. The Bz component has been mainly positive ranging between -1 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 0-1 (NOAA) and local K index 0-1 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet, however a coronal hole is currently passing disk centre and may increase geomagnetic activity in 2-3 days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 014, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 17 Jan 2018

Wolf number Catania020
10cm solar flux071
AK Chambon La Forêt006
AK Wingst001
Estimated Ap001
Estimated international sunspot number017 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 23:19 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Trondheim
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (561.6 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.31nT), the direction is moderately South (-10.53nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-75nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.75

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