Viewing archive of Saturday, 20 January 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Jan 20 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 20 Jan 2018 until 22 Jan 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
20 Jan 2018071018
21 Jan 2018071012
22 Jan 2018072010

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been quiet. No significant flares have been recorded. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a small chance of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has increased from around 350 to around 400 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated around 7 nT. The Bz component has ranged between -9 and +6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and local K index 0-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. The increased solar wind speeds are the result of a High Speed Stream (HSS) produced by a small coronal hole that passed the central meridian a couple of days ago, the HSS combined with elevated negative Bz may enhance geomagnetic activity over the next day.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 05 stations.

Solar indices for 19 Jan 2018

Wolf number Catania014
10cm solar flux071
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap009
Estimated international sunspot number007 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 00:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Kuopio
Trondheim
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (573.3 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.65nT), the direction is slightly South (-9.36nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-71nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.75

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