Viewing archive of Monday, 22 January 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Jan 22 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 22 Jan 2018 until 24 Jan 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
22 Jan 2018069011
23 Jan 2018069011
24 Jan 2018068008

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. Spotless region NOAA 2696 (located at S12W55) was the source of a B9.5 flare peaking at 02:57UT, during which its group filament was ejected. Coronal dimming and a coronal wave were observed in SDO/AIA imagery. Preliminary analysis indicates that the bulk of the associated coronal mass ejection (CME) is not earth- directed. No earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.

Earth is under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from the trans- equatorial extension of the negative southern polar coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed increased from an initial 460 km/s to its current 530 km/s, peaking around 00:40UT near 580 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz oscillated between -6 and +8 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was directed towards the Sun.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, with an active episode recorded at Dourbes during the 12-15UT interval. In response to the current HSS, mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic activity is expected with a chance on an isolated active episode.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 21 Jan 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt021
AK Wingst011
Estimated Ap010
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 00:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Thunder Bay, ON, Winnipeg, MB
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (644.5 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.56nT), the direction is slightly South (-3.95nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-69nT)

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