Viewing archive of Saturday, 10 February 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Feb 10 1251 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 10 Feb 2018 until 12 Feb 2018
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
10 Feb 2018078005
11 Feb 2018077003
12 Feb 2018076008

Bulletin

Solar activity was low, no C-class flares in past 24 h. NOAA 2699 has decayed from beta-gamma to beta magnetic field configuration, however it can still produce C-class flares in the coming hours. Proton flux levels are at background values and are expected to remain so. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Solar wind speed is at 340 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions reached unsettled levels (K = 3) this morning due to interplanetary magnetic field elevated values of 10.7 nT. Bz component remained strictly positive around 9 nT, and speeds elevated simultaniously only till 380 km/s. Quiet to unsettled conditions can be expected in the next 48 h.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 027, based on 10 stations.

Solar indices for 09 Feb 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux078
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number026 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (528.6 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.73nT), the direction is slightly South (-6.51nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-89nT)

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