Issued: 2018 Feb 11 1303 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
11 Feb 2018 | 078 | 002 |
12 Feb 2018 | 079 | 003 |
13 Feb 2018 | 078 | 005 |
Solar activity slightly increased during the period. NOAA 2699 active region, in spite of decaying magnetic configuration, produced multiple B-class flares and one C4.6 flare peaking at 13:21 UT yesterday. Proton flux levels are at background values and are expected to remain so. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. C-class flares (and with a tiny chance M-class flares) are still expected. Solar wind speed is currently at 315 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 2.5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been very quiet. The fast speed solar wind coming from the transient low latitude negative polarity coronal hole will affect the Earth environment in 4-5 days from now. Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected in the next 3 days. Isolated episodes of unsettled conditions are not excluded due to occasional passages of transient features.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 030, based on 12 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 078 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 027 - Based on 13 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Begin Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximum Time: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duration: 1 minutes. Peak flux: 190 sfu
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |