Viewing archive of Sunday, 12 January 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Jan 12 1233 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Jan 2020 until 14 Jan 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Jan 2020073005
13 Jan 2020073013
14 Jan 2020073019

Bulletin

The solar activity has been at low levels over the past 24 hours. The sun is currently spotless and the X-ray flux is below C-level. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels for the next 24 hours.

No earth-directed coronal mass ejection was identified in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

The solar wind environment was returning towards an ambient background and slow solar wind speed regime. The solar wind speed globally decreased from 450 km/s to about 340 km/s, the total magnetic field fluctuated between 1 nT and 6 nT, and the southern component of the magnetic filed was between -4 nT and 5.5 nT (as recorded by the ACE spacecraft). We anticipate enhancements of the solar wind tomorrow Jan 13 close to the end of the day due to the high-speed streams from the returning positive polarity coronal holes that reached the central meridian on Jan 10.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed is expected for the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Jan 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt010
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (548.8 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.71nT), the direction is slightly South (-1.41nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-75nT)

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