Viewing archive of Monday, 16 December 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Dec 16 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 16 Dec 2019 until 18 Dec 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
16 Dec 2019070007
17 Dec 2019070008
18 Dec 2019070029

Bulletin

Solar X ray flux remained below B level throughout the period. There are no active regions on disk and X-ray flux is expected to remain at background levels.

No Earth-directed CME's were detected in coronagraph images.

Solar high energy proton fluxes were at background levels and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind speed reached a maximum of around 420 km/s before declining to current values around 370 km/s. Total magnetic field was around a nominal 5nT with the phi angle mostly in the negative sector. Solar wind conditions are expected to remain nominal over the next 24 hour and then are expected to become enhanced from late December 17 or early December 18 under the influence of the equatorial positive polarity coronal hole.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled with both local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp reaching an isolated period of K=3. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled over the next 24 hours with later unsettled to active conditions from December 18 onwards, with also a possibility of isolated minor geomagnetic storm episodes.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 07 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Dec 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux071
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 25 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 23:19 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Trondheim
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (561.6 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.31nT), the direction is moderately South (-10.53nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-75nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.75

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