Viewing archive of Saturday, 25 January 2020

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jan 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 25 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jan 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (26 Jan, 27 Jan, 28 Jan).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 332 km/s at 25/0407Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 25/0423Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 25/0308Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 176 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (26 Jan, 27 Jan, 28 Jan).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Jan to 28 Jan
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Jan 073
  Predicted   26 Jan-28 Jan 074/074/074
  90 Day Mean        25 Jan 071

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jan  001/001
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Jan  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jan to 28 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm20%20%20%
Major-severe storm15%15%15%

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Fairbanks, AK

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Juneau, AK, Utqiagvik, AK

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