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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Apr 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 116 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Apr 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (26 Apr, 27 Apr, 28 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 465 km/s at 25/0526Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 25/0020Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 25/0034Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 211 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (26 Apr, 27 Apr, 28 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Apr to 28 Apr
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Apr 069
  Predicted   26 Apr-28 Apr 070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        25 Apr 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Apr  006/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Apr  005/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr  007/008-007/008-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Apr to 28 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm20%20%20%
Major-severe storm20%20%20%

All times in UTC

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