Viewing archive of Sunday, 12 July 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Jul 12 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Jul 2020 until 14 Jul 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Jul 2020068005
13 Jul 2020068009
14 Jul 2020068014

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels and is expected to remain so. The solar disk was spotless. Old active region NOAA 2766 was the source of two A2 flares peaking on 11 July at resp. 10:20UT and 20:50UT. Coronal dimming and weak EIT waves were observed, but the associated CMEs were very faint.

No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux and the greater than 2 MeV electron flux were at nominal levels during the last 24 hours and are expected to remain so.

Solar wind speed was on a slightly declining trend from initial values near 330 km/s to 290 km/s by the end of the period (DSCOVR and ACE). Bz varied between -3 and +1 nT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was mostly directed away from the Sun (positive sector).

Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mostly quiet, with unsettled intervals possible on 12-13 July from coronal hole wind stream effects, and on 14 July from a glancing blow from the 09 July CME. An isolated active interval is not excluded.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 28 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Jul 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 23:19 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (524.4 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.1nT), the direction is slightly South (-6.62nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-79nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.75

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