Viewing archive of Monday, 10 August 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Aug 10 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 10 Aug 2020 until 12 Aug 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
10 Aug 2020073005
11 Aug 2020072007
12 Aug 2020072007

Bulletin

The solar activity was quiet over the past 24 hours. The bipolar sunspot (NOAA-AR 2770) has slightly declined and did not produce any significant flaring activity. The X-ray flux remained below B-class level. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels with a low probability of occurring a C-class flare.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery in the last 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to stay at nominal levels for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at high levels over the next 24 hours.

The Earth is currently under the influence of the slow solar wind streams. The solar wind parameters (DSCOVR) show at nominal values with the solar wind speed around 310-400 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field below 6 nT, and the Bz magnetic field components fluctuating between -3 nT and +5 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain mostly nominal for the next days. A relatively small equatorial coronal hole (negative polarity) is currently facing Earth. The wind streams associated with this coronal hole may enhance the solar wind parameters near Earth in about 3-4 days for now.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet, and quiet conditions are expected for the next following day.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 012, based on 25 stations.

Solar indices for 09 Aug 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number012 - Based on 34 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 23:19 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna, Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (525.9 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.36nT), the direction is North (3.6nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-85nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.75

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