Viewing archive of Tuesday, 8 June 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Jun 08 1235 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 08 Jun 2021 until 10 Jun 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
08 Jun 2021082013
09 Jun 2021080009
10 Jun 2021080005

Bulletin

Solar flaring activity is still low. The largest reported flare was C1.4 flare (peaked at 10:53 UT today) originating from the AR 2831 which is presently rotating across the West solar limb. We expect such a low level of flaring activity to continue in the coming hours. There were no Earth directed CMEs observed during last 24 hours and the proton flux levels remained at background values. The greater than 2MeV electron flux continues to be bellow the 1000 pfu threshold, and we expect it will remain so during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is at normal levels and we expect it will stay so in the coming 24 hours.

The in situ observations indicate arrival of the solar wind originating from the negative polarity coronal hole (extension of the southern polar coronal hole), starting from the morning of June 07. The increase of the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude (up to about 11 nT) and solar wind density, observed at about 06:30 UT, was followed by the temperature and solar wind speed increase. Shortly after 01:00 UT this morning, the solar wind speed reached its local maximum of 550 km/s. The solar wind speed is presently about 480 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 4 nT.

The geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet to unsettled during last 24 hours. The arrival of the fast solar wind induced active geomagnetic conditions yesterday evening and around midnight. Local station at Dourbes reported K-index= 4 and NOAA reported Kp=4. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet to unsettled and we expect them to stay so in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 036, based on 25 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Jun 2021

Wolf number Catania054
10cm solar flux081
AK Chambon La Forêt024
AK Wingst016
Estimated Ap015
Estimated international sunspot number050 - Based on 36 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 23:19 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Trondheim
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (561.6 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.31nT), the direction is moderately South (-10.53nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-75nT)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.75

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