Viewing archive of Wednesday, 16 March 2022

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2022 Mar 16 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 16 Mar 2022 until 18 Mar 2022
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
16 Mar 2022110007
17 Mar 2022108007
18 Mar 2022106007

Bulletin

There are four active regions on the visible solar disc. NOAA AR 2965 continues to be the most active one, although it has decreased in size in the past 24 hours. It has produced two M-class flares and two C-class flares in the last 24 hours. The strongest was a M1.5 flare, peaking at 22:46 UT, on 15 March. The other active regions have simple magnetic field configuration (alpha or beta) and have not produced any significant flares. For the next 24 hours, C-class flares are expected and M-class flares are possible.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraph imagery in the past 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2MeV electron flux was under the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so in next 24 hours.

The Earth is inside a slow solar wind flow, with solar wind speeds close to 410 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field magnitude around 4 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were mostly quiet (K_Bel = 1-3 and Kp = 1-3) . Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 058, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Mar 2022

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux110
AK Chambon La Forêt012
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number067 - Based on 11 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
15123312391244N24W10M1.4SN55/2965
15223922462252N24W17M1.5SF55/2965

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 00:51 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Thunder Bay, ON, Winnipeg, MB
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (629.9 km/sec.)
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-71nT)

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