Viewing archive of Friday, 18 March 2022

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2022 Mar 18 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 18 Mar 2022 until 20 Mar 2022
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
18 Mar 2022103007
19 Mar 2022101007
20 Mar 2022101014

Bulletin

There are four active regions on the visible solar disc. NOAA AR 2965 has decayed into a beta magnetic field configuration, it has decreased in size and produced the only C-class flare of the past 24 hours (C1.0 with peak at 19:18 UT on 17 March). The other regions are small and have simple magnetic field configurations. For the next 24 hours, C-class flares can still be expected.

No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the past 24 hours. The CME from 16 March may arrive to to the Earth on 20 March.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2MeV electron flux was under the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so in next 24 hours.

The Earth is inside a slow solar wind flow, with solar wind speeds close to 300 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field magnitude around 5 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were mostly quiet (K_Bel = 1-3 and Kp = 2) . Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 033, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 17 Mar 2022

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux103
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number046 - Based on 17 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 03:00 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK
Nuuk
Tórshavn
Reykjavik
The solar wind speed is currently high (726.8 km/sec.)
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-76nT)

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