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CME arrival, X1 halo CME
What an eventful few days we are having. Solar flares, coronal mass ejections and now even geomagnetic storming! Indeed, the coronal mass ejections from the M-class event arrived around 01:45 UTC today which was very much in line with the predictions. Well done NOAA! Geomagnetic storm conditions up to the minor G1 geomagnetic storm levels have been observed thus far. The solar wind speed is decent near 600km/s but the strength of the interplanetary field is below what you'd expect for stronger storm conditions. That said, we will continue to be under the influence of the effects of this coronal mass ejection in the coming hours so keep an eye on the data to see how the situation unfolds.
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Reykjavik
Kiruna
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Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
Coronal hole faces Earth
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Monday, 24 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth
The anticipated strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch never materialized as the coronal mass ejection that was supposed to arrive early yesterday didn't arrive until today just past midnight UTC. The impact was very lackluster with the Bt (total strength of the IMF) increasing to a moderate 15nT at best and the solar wind speed reaching just 420km/s. A far cry from the anticipated 700 to 800km/s. That once again goes to show how hard it is to forecast space weather events and any resulting geomagnetic conditions. We remain under the influence of the CME and high latitude sky watchers should remain alert for some nice aurora displays but middle latitude sky watchers will probably have to wait for the next opportunity.
13:55 UTC - Coronal hole
A transequatorial coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
02:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 02:33 UTC
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/02/23 | X2.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/21 | M1.2 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/22 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| March 2025 | 140.6 -14 |
| Last 30 days | 138 -16.1 |