Viewing archive of Saturday, 16 April 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Apr 16 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 106 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Apr 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 17 Apr to 19 Apr
| Class M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Apr 122 Predicted 17 Apr-19 Apr 125/125/125 90 Day Mean 16 Apr 113
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Apr 014/017 Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Apr 008/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Apr-19 Apr 011/012-011/012-009/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Apr to 19 Apr
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 40% | 40% | 30% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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