Viewing archive of Sunday, 20 November 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Nov 20 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 324 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Nov 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 21 Nov to 23 Nov
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Nov 119 Predicted 21 Nov-23 Nov 120/125/125 90 Day Mean 20 Nov 133
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Nov 004/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Nov 006/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Nov-23 Nov 020/026-012/015-009/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Nov to 23 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 35% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 20% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 70% | 60% | 30% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna, Luleå
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnTrondheim
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Thunder Bay, ONTampere
Petrozavodsk
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