Viewing archive of Saturday, 30 December 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Dec 30 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 364 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Dec 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 31 Dec to 02 Jan
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Dec 140 Predicted 31 Dec-02 Jan 145/140/135 90 Day Mean 30 Dec 149
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Dec 006/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Dec 006/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Dec-02 Jan 009/010-011/015-012/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Dec to 02 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 40% | 30% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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