Visualizzazione archivio di sabato, 21 giugno AM
Rapporto attività solare
Ogni brillamento solare menzionato nel rapporto ha un fattore di scala, applicato dal Centro di Predizione Meteorologica Spaziale (SWPC). A causa del fattore di scala del SWPC, i brillamenti solari sono segnalati come ridotti del 42%, rispetto ai dati di qualità scientifica. Il fattore di scala è stato rimosso dai nostri dati archiviati sui brillamenti solari, per riflettere le unità fisiche reali.
Rapporto dell'Attività Geofisica Solare 2003 Jun 21 2200 UTC
Preparati dal SWPC della NOAA© ed elaborati da SpaceWeatherLive.comRapporto Congiunto USAF/NOAA dell'Attività Solare e Geofisica
SDF Numero 172 Emesso alle 2200Z il Jun 21 2003
IA. Analisi delle Regioni Solari Attive e Attività dalle 2100Z-20 alle 2100Z-21
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 388 (S03W19)
produced the largest flare of the period, a C2.5/Sf that occurred at
21/1313Z along with many lesser flares during the interval. This
region showed rapid growth during the period with a more than
doubling of the penumbral coverage. Region 386 (S07E04) produced
several lesser C-class flares today and has been in a steady decay
phase since yesterday. The delta magnetic structure is still intact
in the leading edge of the spot cluster. Region 387 (N18E23) was
fairly quiescent today although it still depicts a beta-gamma
magnetic complex. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Previsione dell'Attività Solare
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Regions 386, 387, and 388 all have the
potential for producing M-class flare activity.
IIA. Sommario dell'Attività Geofisica dalle 2100Z-20 alle 2100Z-21
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels.
Sustained periods of southward Bz along with elevated solar wind
speeds led to the occasional storming conditions. The greater than
2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Previsione dell'Attività Geofisica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels. Isolated minor storm
conditions are possible throughout the period due to a recurrent
high speed coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilità dell'Evento dalle Jun del 22 alle Jun del 24
Classe M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Classe X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Protone | 05% | 05% | 05% |
PCAF | yellow
|
IV. Flusso di 10.7 cm di Penticton
Osservato 21 Jun 115
Previsto 22 Jun-24 Jun 115/115/115
Media di 90 Giorni 21 Jun 126
V. Indici Geomagnetici A
Osservato Afr/Ap 20 Jun 010/012
Stimato Afr/Ap 21 Jun 018/025
Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun 012/015-015/015-012/012
VI. Probabilità dell'Attività Geomagnetica dal 22 Jun al 24 Jun
A. Latitudini Medie |
Attivo | 25% | 35% | 25% |
Tempesta minore | 10% | 20% | 10% |
Tempesta maggiore-grave | 01% | 05% | 01% |
B. Latitudini Alte |
Attivo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
Tempesta minore | 20% | 20% | 15% |
Tempesta maggiore-grave | 05% | 05% | 05% |
PLAIN
K-Indices:
On 16 June, it was determined that a scaling problem exists with the Boulder magnetometer instrument. While this problem, and its fix are being investigated the primary instrument for Boulder K-indices has been switched to the Boulder USGS (via Domsat) magnetometer, effective 1500 UTC on 16 June.
GOES Protons:
To ensure continued operational monitoring of important energetic particle data, it is necessary to reassign primary/secondary designations for the GOES Space Environment Monitor (SEM) detectors. GOES 11 (113W) is now the primary satellite for protons. GOES 12 will continue as the primary satellite for magnetometer, X-ray, and electron measurements. GOES 10 (135W) will be the secondary satellite for all SEM sensors - magnetometer, X-ray, and energetic particles. Because of the degraded state of the proton data on GOES-10, its designation as the secondary source for proton data is a short-term solution. More permanent solutions have been identified and are being evaluated. Users will be notified when we define and schedule a permanent fix. Further details can be found at http://www.sec.noaa.gov/GOES.html.
99999
Tutti gli orari in UTC
<< Vai alla pagina della panoramica giornaliera