Viewing archive of Saturday, 10 August 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 223 Issued at 2200Z on 10 AUG 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS REGION 7981
ROTATED OFF THE LIMB. REGION 7983 (N27E20), ORIGINALLY SN06,
WAS NUMBERED AND CLASSIFIED A BETA TYPE GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD, DECREASING TO QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 11 AUG to 13 AUG
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 AUG 072 Predicted 11 AUG-13 AUG 072/072/071 90 Day Mean 10 AUG 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 AUG 008/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 AUG 007/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 AUG-13 AUG 007/005-007/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 AUG to 13 AUG
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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