Viewing archive of Friday, 6 September 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Sep 06 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 250 Issued at 2200Z on 06 SEP 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET LEVELS.
III. Event Probabilities 07 SEP to 09 SEP
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 SEP  070
  Predicted   07 SEP-09 SEP  069/069/069
  90 Day Mean        06 SEP  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 05 SEP  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 SEP  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 SEP-09 SEP  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 SEP to 09 SEP
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 16:08 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Norilsk, Vorkuta
The solar wind speed is currently high (736 km/sec.)

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