Viewing archive of Wednesday, 2 October 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Oct 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 276 Issued at 2200Z on 02 OCT 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO FLARES. THERE ARE NO NUMBERED REGIONS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 03 OCT to 05 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 OCT  070
  Predicted   03 OCT-05 OCT  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        02 OCT  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 01 OCT  003/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 OCT  010/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 OCT-05 OCT  010/008-005/007-005/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 OCT to 05 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%05%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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