Viewing archive of Friday, 18 October 1996
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 292 Issued at 2200Z on 18 OCT 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 19 OCT to 21 OCT
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 OCT 070 Predicted 19 OCT-21 OCT 070/071/071 90 Day Mean 18 OCT 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 17 OCT 006/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 OCT 023/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 OCT-21 OCT 020/020-020/020-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 OCT to 21 OCT
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 35% | 35% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 40% | 40% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Reykjavik
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