Viewing archive of Wednesday, 20 November 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 20 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 325 Issued at 2200Z on 20 NOV 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRONS REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 21 NOV to 23 NOV
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       20 NOV  075
  Predicted   21 NOV-23 NOV  074/072/072
  90 Day Mean        20 NOV  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 19 NOV  011/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 NOV  008/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 NOV-23 NOV  010/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 NOV to 23 NOV
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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