Viewing archive of Sunday, 8 December 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 343 Issued at 2200Z on 08 DEC 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO FLARES NOTED ON THE VISIBLE DISK. REGION 8003 (S30E10) IS THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION VISIBLE AND APPEARS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW. REGION 8003 HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET FOR THE PAST QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 09 DEC to 11 DEC
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 DEC  069
  Predicted   09 DEC-11 DEC  070/070/072
  90 Day Mean        08 DEC  073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 07 DEC  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 DEC  003/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 DEC-11 DEC  010/010-015/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 DEC to 11 DEC
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%30%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%35%20%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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