Viewing archive of Friday, 3 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 03 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 3 Issued at 2200Z on 03 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A SMALL SPOT WAS
INTERMITTENTLY VISIBLE NEAR S28E32 DURING THE PERIOD BUT NOT LONG
ENOUGH TO QUALIFY AS A NEW REGION.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A
VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE FIELD SHOULD REMAIN QUIET
FOR 04 JAN. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 05-06 JAN.
ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT INTERVAL.
III. Event Probabilities 04 JAN to 06 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 JAN 073 Predicted 04 JAN-06 JAN 073/075/077 90 Day Mean 03 JAN 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JAN 006/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JAN 002/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JAN-06 JAN 005/005-008/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 JAN to 06 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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