Viewing archive of Thursday, 2 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 02 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 2 Issued at 2200Z on 02 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. THE DISK CONTINUED
SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT VERY
LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN QUIET FOR 03-04 JAN. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST FOR 05 JAN.
III. Event Probabilities 03 JAN to 05 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 JAN 072 Predicted 03 JAN-05 JAN 072/073/075 90 Day Mean 02 JAN 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JAN 004/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JAN 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JAN-05 JAN 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 JAN to 05 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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