Viewing archive of Sunday, 5 January 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 05 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 5 Issued at 2200Z on 05 JAN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. A LONG DURATION, LOW INTENSITY (A6) X-RAY EVENT WAS OBSERVED BY GOES-9 FROM 1331-1610 UT. THERE WERE NO IMAGE OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE TO PINPOINT THE SOURCE OF THIS EVENT. REGION 8009 (S03W18) IS A SMALL AND VERY STABLE BXO GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS. AN INCREASE FROM TODAY'S QUIET LEVELS IS ANTICIPATED BECAUSE OF RECURRENCE EFFECTS.
III. Event Probabilities 06 JAN to 08 JAN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 JAN 074
  Predicted   06 JAN-08 JAN  074/075/076
  90 Day Mean        05 JAN 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 JAN  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JAN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JAN-08 JAN  010/012-010/010-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 JAN to 08 JAN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%30%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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