Viewing archive of Sunday, 5 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 5 Issued at 2200Z on 05 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. A LONG DURATION, LOW
INTENSITY (A6) X-RAY EVENT WAS OBSERVED BY GOES-9 FROM 1331-1610 UT.
THERE WERE NO IMAGE OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE TO PINPOINT THE SOURCE OF
THIS EVENT. REGION 8009 (S03W18) IS A SMALL AND VERY STABLE BXO
GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH A
POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS. AN INCREASE FROM TODAY'S
QUIET LEVELS IS ANTICIPATED BECAUSE OF RECURRENCE EFFECTS.
III. Event Probabilities 06 JAN to 08 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 JAN 074 Predicted 06 JAN-08 JAN 074/075/076 90 Day Mean 05 JAN 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 JAN 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JAN 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JAN-08 JAN 010/012-010/010-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 JAN to 08 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Monday, 23 December 2024
M9.0 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Sunday, 8 December 2024
X2.2 solar flare, SDO outage
Thursday, 21 November 2024
Major far side eruption, S1 radiation storm
Latest forum messages
AR 3938 23AR 3939 42024/12/23 AR13932 M8.9 & M4.1 associated CMEs 49Sunspot Latitudes at or near Solar Maximum 77AR13936 9
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/12/08 | X2.2 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/12/26 | M7.3 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/12/17 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| November 2024 | 152.5 -13.9 |
| December 2024 | 119.3 -33.2 |
| Last 30 days | 122 -35.7 |