Viewing archive of Saturday, 25 October 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Oct 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 298 Issued at 2200Z on 25 OCT 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK WAS GENERALLY QUIET. NEW REGION 8099 (N20E64) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO MINOR STORM FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, THEN DIMINISH TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 26 OCT to 28 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 OCT 081
  Predicted   26 OCT-28 OCT  080/080/078
  90 Day Mean        25 OCT 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 OCT  018/025
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 OCT  017/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 OCT-28 OCT  020/025-015/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 OCT to 28 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active45%25%15%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm10%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active45%25%15%
Minor storm15%05%05%
Major-severe storm10%01%01%

All times in UTC

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