Viewing archive of Friday, 6 March 1998

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Mar 06 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 MAR 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8171 (S24W86) GENERATED THREE C-CLASS EVENTS, THE LARGEST A C5/SF AT 05/2309Z. NEW REGION 8174 (S17E50), A TWO SPOT 'BXO' BETA GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, EXCEPT FOR AN ISOLATED PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS AT MIDDLE LATITUDES AND MINOR STORMING AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL 05/2100-2400Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, WITH CONDITIONS DECREASING TO MOSTLY QUIET ON DAY THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 07 MAR to 09 MAR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 MAR 092
  Predicted   07 MAR-09 MAR  092/090/092
  90 Day Mean        06 MAR 095
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAR  010/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAR  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAR-09 MAR  010/010-010/012-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 MAR to 09 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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