Viewing archive of Saturday, 18 April 1998

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Apr 18 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 108 Issued at 2200Z on 18 APR 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. QUIET CONDITIONS PREVAILED ON THE DISK AS MOST OF THE ACTIVE REGIONS EXPERIENCED A STEADY DECLINE. REGION 8205 (N21W12) IS THE MOST PROMINENT, BUT HAS BEEN UNPRODUCTIVE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE HAS BEEN CONTINUED LIMB ACTIVITY IN THE SOUTHWEST WHERE REGION 8195 (S27) IS NOW MAKING ITS LIMB TRANSIT.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 19 APR to 21 APR
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       18 APR 099
  Predicted   19 APR-21 APR  095/095/095
  90 Day Mean        18 APR 104
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 17 APR  012/015
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 APR  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 APR-21 APR  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 APR to 21 APR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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