Viewing archive of Thursday, 7 May 1998

Geophysical report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary 1998 May 07 0245 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary

SGAS Number 127 Issued at 0245Z on 07 MAY 1998 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 06 MAY
A. Energetic Events
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
0000 0000 0000
0000 0000 0000
0025 0035 0041  8214 N26W20       SF 550
0453 0506 0517              C8.4     440    61        IV
0606 0615 0617  8210 S12W65 C2.8  SF 550
0710 0725 0741  8210 S11W65 M2.9  1N 830
0758 0809 0820  8210 S11W65 X2.7  1N 65000  490       IV
1433 1434 1434                       430
1724 1724 1725                       250
B. Proton Events
THE GT 100 MEV FLUX BEGAN RISING AT 06/0825Z AND REACHED A MAXIMUM OF 2.9 PFU AT 06/0840Z. FLUXES DECAYED SLOWLY DURING THE DAY AND WERE NEAR BACKGROUND AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE GT 10 MEV FLUX BEGAN TO RISE AT THE SAME TIME AND REACHED A MAXIMUM OF 210 PFU AT 06/0945Z AND THEN BEGAN TO SLOWLY DECAY. FLUXES WERE NEAR 10 PFU AT THE END OF THE PERIOD.
C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
D. Stratwarm
None.
E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values)
10 CM 130  SSN 111  AFR/AP 004/008   X-RAY BACKGROUND C1.8
DAILY PROTON FLUENCE (FLUX ACCUMULATION OVER 24 HRS)
GT 1 MEV 7.5E+06   GT 10 MEV 2.4E+06 P/(CM2-STER-DAY)
GOES-9 SATELLITE SYNCHRONOUS ORBIT W135 DEGREES)
DAILY ELECTRON FLUENCE
GT 2 MEV 6.40E+08 E/(CM2-STER-DAY)
GOES-9 SATELLITE SYNCHRONOUS ORBIT W135 DEGREES)
3 HOUR K-INDICES:
BOULDER 2 2 0 1 2 1 1 2 PLANETARY 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 2
F. Comments
  A STRONG 245 MHZ NOISE STORM (PEAK NEAR 660 SFU) WAS
IN PROGRESS FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE HIGH.


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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK, Utqiagvik, AK
A transequatorial coronal hole was detected in an earth-facing position on Monday, 24 March 2025

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Monday, 24 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth

The anticipated strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch never materialized as the coronal mass ejection that was supposed to arrive early yesterday didn't arrive until today just past midnight UTC. The impact was very lackluster with the Bt (total strength of the IMF) increasing to a moderate 15nT at best and the solar wind speed reaching just 420km/s. A far cry from the anticipated 700 to 800km/s. That once again goes to show how hard it is to forecast space weather events and any resulting geomagnetic conditions. We remain under the influence of the CME and high latitude sky watchers should remain alert for some nice aurora displays but middle latitude sky watchers will probably have to wait for the next opportunity. 

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