Viewing archive of Thursday, 30 July 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 30 JUL 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 31 JUL to 02 AUG
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 JUL 115 Predicted 31 JUL-02 AUG 112/110/108 90 Day Mean 30 JUL 110
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 JUL 008/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JUL 006/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 JUL-02 AUG 010/010-010/010-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 JUL to 02 AUG
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
X4.0 solar flare
X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
X1.2 solar flare with earth-directed CME
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Latest alerts
21:51 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.33 flare from sunspot region 4274
21:36 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.33)
20:30 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.37 flare from sunspot region 4274
20:15 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.37)
X4.0 solar flare
A X4.0 (R3-strong) solar flare peaked at 08:30 UTC this morning. It was of course departing sunspot region 4274 which has been the source of so many solar flares and even geomagnetic storms this past week that provided the fireworks.
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/11/14 | X4.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/11/14 | M1.3 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/11/13 | Kp7+ (G3) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| October 2025 | 114.6 -15.2 |
| November 2025 | 100.3 -14.3 |
| Last 30 days | 98.1 -36.4 |